
Brazil and Chile have both started large monetary easing cycles, and Brazil's second-quarter GDP beat expectations at 0.9% QoQ. USD/BRL was trading near 4.98 with a mildly bearish one-month bias, and analysts expected about 155bp of Brazilian easing by year-end.
Expected BRL stability on high real rates would keep Brazilian export prices competitive but less cheap, a modest factor for soybean meal and corn export pricing.
Setelah 213 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Real Brasil (BRL per USD) bergerak median -0,2% selama 5 sesi (46% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,5% sampai +0,9%), dan +0,2% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.