
Malaysian palm oil futures fell 4.2% to 4,703 ringgit a tonne on recession fears that hit edible oils, after an intraday drop of about 7%. Malaysia's June exports fell between 7.4% and 13.4% from May as shipments to India and the EU slowed.
Palm later recovered some losses when crude oil rose on supply outages in Libya and Norway.
Recession fears reduce demand for edible oils and biodiesel, while weaker Malaysian exports add to the supply overhang. Stronger crude oil could support palm by making it more competitive as biodiesel feedstock.
Setelah 51 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Minyak Sawit bergerak median -1,3% selama 5 sesi (35% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -4,1% sampai +1,1%), dan -1,8% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 40 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Minyak Kedelai bergerak median -0,8% selama 5 sesi (45% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -4,5% sampai +1,7%), dan -1,5% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 487 peristiwa makro bullish sebelumnya, Minyak Mentah (WTI) bergerak median +1,0% selama 5 sesi (60% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -2,0% sampai +4,0%), dan +1,5% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
4% drop on July 1 on recession fears and a higher supply outlook, with weaker June exports to India and the EU.
Recession fears hit edible oils with an intraday drop of ~7%, alongside weaker June Malaysian exports and a higher supply outlook, matching the window's sharp selloff.
July 1 recession fears and a higher supply outlook hit edible oils, setting up the weak sentiment that carried into the July 4 soyoil drop.
Recession fears and weaker June Malaysian exports hit edible oils just before the move, adding demand-side and sentiment pressure.