◂ Linimasa Peristiwa

19 Agu 2021MAKROGlobal

Falling oil prices increase pressure on oilseed markets

Oil prices fell about 5% over six sessions to their lowest since May 24, 2021, amid rising coronavirus cases and expectations of weaker fuel demand. Palm oil and canola futures also declined, with Malaysian palm oil down 2.4% and Winnipeg canola down 2%.

Canadian canola harvest forecasts were cut to 15-17 million tonnes, with some estimates as low as 12 million.

MENGAPA INI PENTING

Lower crude prices reduce the appeal of biofuel feedstocks, pressuring vegetable oil prices, while tighter Canadian canola supply offers some support. Oilseed price direction depends on whether energy weakness persists.

BERDAMPAK PADAMinyak Mentah (WTI)▼Minyak Mentah (Brent)▼Minyak Sawit▼Minyak Kedelai▼

1 SUMBER
graintrade.com.ua19 Agu 2021

Reaksi harga & riwayat

Minyak Mentah (WTI)▼bearishSEJAUH INI1d -2,6%5d +4,7%20d +11,1%

Setelah 565 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Minyak Mentah (WTI) bergerak median -1,4% selama 5 sesi (41% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -5,9% sampai +3,0%), dan -0,5% selama 20 sesi.

11 Mar 2020Ag Markets Feel Pinch As Oil Prices Plunge - ProAg-21,7%
16 Jul 2021Oil prices anticipate increase in production | Reuters+0,6%
14 Okt 2022Oil prices fall more than 3% on recession worries-3,8%
26 Apr 2020Oil price crash, COVID-19 weaken grains and oilseed markets+21,1%
24 Des 2018Plunging oil prices show the market is worried about 2019 recession-0,5%

Minyak Mentah (Brent)▼bearishSEJAUH INI1d -2,6%5d +5,5%20d +9,8%

Setelah 312 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Minyak Mentah (Brent) bergerak median -1,7% selama 5 sesi (38% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -5,4% sampai +2,3%), dan -1,7% selama 20 sesi.

11 Mar 2020Ag Markets Feel Pinch As Oil Prices Plunge - ProAg-22,1%
16 Jul 2021Oil prices anticipate increase in production | Reuters+0,0%
14 Okt 2022Oil prices fall more than 3% on recession worries-3,1%
26 Apr 2020Oil price crash, COVID-19 weaken grains and oilseed markets+19,9%
24 Des 2018Plunging oil prices show the market is worried about 2019 recession-1,3%

Minyak Sawit▼bearishSEJAUH INI1d -0,6%5d +0,3%20d +2,3%

Setelah 51 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Minyak Sawit bergerak median -1,3% selama 5 sesi (35% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -4,1% sampai +1,1%), dan -1,8% selama 20 sesi.

11 Mar 2020Ag Markets Feel Pinch As Oil Prices Plunge - ProAg-3,6%
30 Sep 2020Prices for vegetable oil are falling after oil quotations-2,4%
1 Jul 2022Palm oil falls 4% on recession fears, higher supply outlook - Markets - Business Recorder-24,3%
30 Agu 2017Strong euro supports biodiesel prices despite falling veg oils : The Daily Digest+3,6%
6 Des 2023Plummeting Vegetable Oil Prices Shake Markets with a 5% Dive | AgriTalker – Agriculture, Climate and Environment News-1,3%

Minyak Kedelai▼bearishSEJAUH INI1d -2,1%5d -4,3%20d -8,1%

Setelah 40 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Minyak Kedelai bergerak median -0,8% selama 5 sesi (45% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -4,5% sampai +1,7%), dan -1,5% selama 20 sesi.

11 Mar 2020Ag Markets Feel Pinch As Oil Prices Plunge - ProAg-8,0%
26 Apr 2020Oil price crash, COVID-19 weaken grains and oilseed markets+4,4%
30 Sep 2020Prices for vegetable oil are falling after oil quotations+1,3%
27 Mar 2020Oil price crash: a glimpse into the future for global energy markets? Q&A with Pierre Noel-1,0%
1 Jul 2022Palm oil falls 4% on recession fears, higher supply outlook - Markets - Business Recorder-7,8%

Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.

Pergerakan harga terkait

Minyak Kedelai-5,1%1 periode sampai 20 Agu 2021-3,2σ
Falling crude oil and weaker palm and canola prices in the prior sessions reduced biofuel-linked demand and gave a bearish lead into the 20 August selloff.

Minyak Mentah (WTI) WTI · GP ▸

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Minyak Mentah (Brent) BRENT · GP ▸

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