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The euro rose against the dollar on 2 March 2020 despite accelerating coronavirus spread in Europe, marking a seventh consecutive weekly-type rally in EUR/USD. The move was attributed to the unwinding of carry trades, as investors sold lower-yielding euro positions.
A stronger euro and carry unwind reflect risk-off flows that weaken emerging-market currencies, which can raise the cost of imported feed ingredients for buyers in those markets.
forex.comMatt Weller CFA, CMT2 Mar 2020Setelah 388 peristiwa makro bullish sebelumnya, Euro (USD per EUR) bergerak median +0,3% selama 5 sesi (62% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,4% sampai +1,1%), dan +0,1% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 1.637 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Dolar AS (Luas) bergerak median -0,2% selama 5 sesi (39% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,6% sampai +0,3%), dan -0,2% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
Attributes the 2 March euro rally to carry-trade unwinding, in which euro funding positions are bought back, a flow-driven currency mechanism for the jump.
Unwinding of euro-funded carry trades led to euro buying and a continued EUR/USD rally on 2 March despite virus spread in Europe.
Euro rally on 2 March driven by carry trade unwinding contributed to the dollar's decline.
