
The ECB held rates steady but kept the door open to a hike in September as energy prices threatened to keep inflation above target. Markets priced around a 95% chance of a September 25 basis-point hike, and EUR/USD edged up to about 1.1385 as the US conducted another night of strikes on Iran.
Hawkish ECB expectations support the euro and soften the dollar, which can help US-priced feed commodities, while ongoing Iran strikes keep energy prices and freight risk elevated.
Setelah 388 peristiwa makro bullish sebelumnya, Euro (USD per EUR) bergerak median +0,3% selama 5 sesi (62% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,4% sampai +1,1%), dan +0,1% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.