
Brazil's Ibovespa gained 8.29% in the first quarter of 2025, while the Nasdaq fell 10.42%, as investors reallocated capital from the US to Europe, China and emerging markets. Fears of a US recession grew after weak consumer confidence and rising inflation expectations.
Capital flowing into Brazil and a weaker dollar support the real and make it easier for Brazilian borrowers to finance operations. A stronger real lowers USD/BRL, which can dampen the competitiveness of Brazilian commodity exports.
Setelah 213 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Real Brasil (BRL per USD) bergerak median -0,2% selama 5 sesi (46% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,5% sampai +0,9%), dan +0,2% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.