
A Reuters poll of 28 analysts forecasts the Brazilian real will strengthen about 3.2% to 5.24 per U.S. dollar over three months and 4% to 5.20 in a year, from 5.41. Eight of 13 strategists see risks skewed to the downside, citing planned pre-election social spending.
A firmer real makes Brazilian exports such as soybeans, corn and meal cheaper in dollar terms, which can ease export selling pressure. Fiscal risk and a possible reversal would support the dollar price of Brazilian commodities.
Setelah 213 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Real Brasil (BRL per USD) bergerak median -0,2% selama 5 sesi (46% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,5% sampai +0,9%), dan +0,2% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.