
Goldman Sachs strategist Teresa Alves told Valor that the Brazilian real should stay relatively strong and not depreciate further, citing elevated oil prices, an expected unchanged Fed and high Brazilian interest rates. She acknowledged volatility may rise ahead of the presidential election.
A stable-to-stronger real makes Brazilian soybean and corn exports less competitive in dollar terms, which can support US and other origin prices, while election volatility adds risk to Brazilian FX-linked export pricing.
Setelah 213 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Real Brasil (BRL per USD) bergerak median -0,2% selama 5 sesi (46% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,5% sampai +0,9%), dan +0,2% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.