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Oil prices spiked and then crashed in March 2022, driven by medium-term fundamentals, strain from disruption to Russian oil exports, and thin market liquidity. The short-term trigger for the sell-off was improved prospects for a truce between Russia and Ukraine.
Extreme crude volatility transmits directly into diesel and energy costs for feed mills and farms, and a Russia-Ukraine truce would ease supply fears that had supported grain and oilseed prices.
reuters.comJohn Kemp17 Mar 2022Setelah 255 peristiwa geopolitik bearish sebelumnya, Minyak Mentah (WTI) bergerak median -2,4% selama 5 sesi (31% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -7,0% sampai +1,7%), dan -5,0% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 250 peristiwa geopolitik bearish sebelumnya, Minyak Mentah (Brent) bergerak median -3,1% selama 5 sesi (36% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -7,9% sampai +1,6%), dan -5,5% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 51 peristiwa geopolitik bearish sebelumnya, ULSD / Solar bergerak median -2,4% selama 5 sesi (37% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -8,2% sampai +3,9%), dan -2,3% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
The sell-off was triggered by improved truce prospects and aggravated by thin liquidity, explaining the sharp collapse.
Explains the crash as unwinding of a spike on thin liquidity, with improved truce prospects as the trigger.
The sell-off was attributed to improved truce prospects and thin liquidity, which amplified the downward move.
The mid-March sell-off on truce hopes created the depressed starting level, so the following rebound was large in percentage terms.
