UOB strategists suggest the US dollar index may have peaked in September 2019 after finishing 2019 higher. They expect slower US growth of 1.5% in 2020 and a fourth Fed rate cut in the first quarter, with DXY targeting 95.6 by end-2020.
Expected dollar weakness would support dollar-priced commodities, including US feed grains and oilseeds, by making them cheaper for foreign buyers. The view is a forecast rather than a new market-moving event.
Setelah 1.637 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Dolar AS (Luas) bergerak median -0,2% selama 5 sesi (39% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,6% sampai +0,3%), dan -0,2% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.