◂ Linimasa Peristiwa

13 Feb 2020CUACAAS

U.S. forecaster sees 60% chance of neutral weather conditions during spring

Reuters reports that a US forecaster sees a 60% chance of neutral weather conditions during spring. The report notes that El Niño has been linked to crop damage, fires and flash floods in past events.

MENGAPA INI PENTING

A neutral spring outlook reduces the risk of major weather disruption to US crops, so it has little direct effect on feed grain prices.

BERDAMPAK PADAJagung Kedelai Gandum (SRW)Minyak Sawit

1 SUMBER
reuters.com13 Feb 2020

Reaksi harga & riwayat

Jagungtidak ada pembacaan arahSEJAUH INI1d -0,6%5d +1,0%20d +1,3%

Setelah 2.467 peristiwa cuaca sebelumnya, Jagung bergerak median +0,1% selama 5 sesi (51% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,5% sampai +1,7%), dan +0,6% selama 20 sesi.

13 Mar 2025U.S. forecaster sees neutral weather conditions persisting through summer+6,5%
10 Okt 2024US forecaster sees 60% chance of La Niña weather in September-November-2,6%
14 Mei 2020U.S. forecaster sees 65% chance for no El Nino, La Nina during summer-0,0%
12 Mar 2020U.S. forecaster sees 65 per cent chance of no spring El Nino, La Nina | Farmtario-7,4%
8 Mei 2025US CPC sees 74% chance of ENSO Neutral conditions through June-August | Reuters-0,6%

Kedelaitidak ada pembacaan arahSEJAUH INI1d +0,4%5d +0,0%20d -4,2%

Setelah 1.964 peristiwa cuaca sebelumnya, Kedelai bergerak median +0,1% selama 5 sesi (51% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,7% sampai +1,8%), dan +0,3% selama 20 sesi.

10 Okt 2024US forecaster sees 60% chance of La Niña weather in September-November-3,9%
14 Mei 2020U.S. forecaster sees 65% chance for no El Nino, La Nina during summer+1,3%
12 Mar 2020U.S. forecaster sees 65 per cent chance of no spring El Nino, La Nina | Farmtario-4,9%
8 Mei 2025US CPC sees 74% chance of ENSO Neutral conditions through June-August | Reuters+3,5%
12 Des 2024US forecaster sees 59% chance of weak, brief La Nina forming by January-4,4%

Gandum (SRW)tidak ada pembacaan arahSEJAUH INI1d -0,1%5d +5,3%20d +9,6%

Setelah 1.773 peristiwa cuaca sebelumnya, Gandum (SRW) bergerak median +0,1% selama 5 sesi (52% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,5% sampai +2,1%), dan +0,2% selama 20 sesi.

13 Mar 2025U.S. forecaster sees neutral weather conditions persisting through summer+5,7%
10 Okt 2024US forecaster sees 60% chance of La Niña weather in September-November-0,5%
14 Mar 2024US forecaster sees higher chance of La Nina conditions this summer | Reuters+0,4%
12 Mar 2020U.S. forecaster sees 65 per cent chance of no spring El Nino, La Nina | Farmtario-4,3%
12 Des 2024US forecaster sees 59% chance of weak, brief La Nina forming by January-0,5%

Minyak Sawittidak ada pembacaan arahSEJAUH INI1d -2,0%5d -2,8%20d -16,7%

Setelah 361 peristiwa cuaca sebelumnya, Minyak Sawit bergerak median +0,0% selama 5 sesi (51% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,3% sampai +1,3%), dan -0,2% selama 20 sesi.

14 Mar 2024US forecaster sees higher chance of La Nina conditions this summer | Reuters+1,2%
12 Mar 2020U.S. forecaster sees 65 per cent chance of no spring El Nino, La Nina | Farmtario-4,4%
1 Feb 2025La Niña conditions present with a transition to ENSO-neutral likely during March-May 2025 (66% chance) | Climate and Agriculture in the Southeast+3,6%
27 Sep 2019ENSO NEUTRAL POSITIVE CONDITIONS ARE HOLDING STEADY IN THE DECEMBER-FEBRUARY OUTLOOK-2,8%
11 Jul 2024La Nina weather 70% likely to develop in Aug-Oct, says US forecaster | Reuters+0,9%

Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.

Jagung CORN · GP ▸

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Kedelai SOY · GP ▸

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