
The CME ULSD contract settled down 16.09 cents to 72.69 cents per gallon on April 21, a drop of 18.12% and the largest one-day decline since January 1991. The move followed WTI May futures turning negative the previous day.
Collapsing diesel futures lower the cost base for freight and farm operations, but the drop reflects severe demand destruction rather than a supply gain.
Setelah 79 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, ULSD / Solar bergerak median -1,0% selama 5 sesi (39% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -5,7% sampai +1,7%), dan -1,5% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 565 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Minyak Mentah (WTI) bergerak median -1,4% selama 5 sesi (41% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -5,9% sampai +3,0%), dan -0,5% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
CME ULSD futures fell 18% on April 21, the largest one-day drop since 1991, which accounts for a large share of the 5-day decline.
The record one-day ULSD drop to 72.69 cents on April 21 left futures deeply depressed, so a mean-reversion bounce in the following weeks looks outsized in percentage terms.