The Brazilian real hit a record low of 5.89 per US dollar on May 12, 2020, and traded at 5.86 on May 15, a 10.6% depreciation over the previous month. Coronavirus cases are rising, the central bank cut the Selic rate to 3.00%, and political tensions are adding to capital outflows.
A weaker real lowers the dollar cost of Brazilian soybeans, corn and meal, which tends to support Brazilian export flows and pressure world prices. Analysts expect the currency to stay weak because feeble global demand for Brazilian commodities is also weighing on it.
Setelah 301 peristiwa makro bullish sebelumnya, Real Brasil (BRL per USD) bergerak median +0,4% selama 5 sesi (57% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,2% sampai +1,7%), dan +1,0% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.