The Brazilian real weakened over recent weeks after the central bank cut the Selic rate to a record low of 2.25% and hinted at more cuts. The real was down about 6.6% over the prior month, with COVID-19 concerns and President Bolsonaro's positive test adding pressure.
A weaker real lowers Brazilian export costs for soybeans, corn and meal, which can cap US export competitiveness and pressure feed prices. Continued fiscal and political risk keeps downside pressure on the currency.
Setelah 301 peristiwa makro bullish sebelumnya, Real Brasil (BRL per USD) bergerak median +0,4% selama 5 sesi (57% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,2% sampai +1,7%), dan +1,0% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.