
Wisconsin economist Bob Cropp says COVID-19 uncertainty will keep dairy demand depressed until the virus is better controlled. CME cheddar block prices peaked at $3 per pound on July 13 and fell to around $1.71 by late August.
The August Class III price is near $19.45, and Cropp expects it could slide into the $16 range.
Weaker dairy demand and falling cheese prices point to lower Class III milk prices through year-end, which reduces the value of milk-based feed inputs for buyers.
Setelah 49 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Susu (Class III) bergerak median -0,6% selama 5 sesi (33% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -8,5% sampai +0,6%), dan -7,5% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
Cropp's note that block cheese fell from $3 to about $1.71 amid weak COVID-driven demand, with Class III possibly sliding to $16, supports a bearish repricing of futures into the Sept 1 drop.