
Dairy economists at the University of Wisconsin say the pandemic has turned dairy markets upside down. USDA reported February milk production up 1.7% year over year, and dairy exports have hit port bottlenecks.
Powder prices have fallen from a futures forecast of $1.25 to about $1 per pound, and May Class IV futures are down $5 per hundredweight since mid-January.
Weaker powder demand and rising milk output reduce dairy prices and pressure milk-based feed ingredients. Export bottlenecks limit the outlet for surplus U.S. milk powder.
Setelah 49 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Susu (Class III) bergerak median -0,6% selama 5 sesi (33% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -8,5% sampai +0,6%), dan -7,5% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
Late-March coverage of pandemic demand disruption, with production up and export bottlenecks, set up the bearish supply/demand backdrop and weighed on dairy futures.