
Premia Partners argues that US inflation expectations are rising and depressing the dollar, while the 10-year Treasury yield has also climbed rapidly. The firm says the Fed's zero-rate policy and generous unemployment benefits are fuelling strong equity markets.
It warns that higher yields could threaten the equity rally.
Rising inflation expectations tend to support real-asset and commodity prices, but a weaker dollar and higher yields can offset this, leaving feed price direction mixed.
Setelah 1.637 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Dolar AS (Luas) bergerak median -0,2% selama 5 sesi (39% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,6% sampai +0,3%), dan -0,2% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.