
The dollar index fell 0.57% to 97.861 as peace talks optimism faded and investors shifted focus to inflation and rate expectations. Euro strength followed a rally after Russia pledged to reduce attacks on Kyiv, and German inflation hit a 40-year high in March.
JPMorgan recommended buying EUR/USD while the U.S. said it had seen no real seriousness from Russia.
A softer dollar supports dollar-priced commodities and can lift U.S. export competitiveness, while rate-hike expectations in Europe reinforce currency moves. Feed buyers face mixed signals from currency swings tied to geopolitics and inflation.
Setelah 1.637 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Dolar AS (Luas) bergerak median -0,2% selama 5 sesi (39% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,6% sampai +0,3%), dan -0,2% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 388 peristiwa makro bullish sebelumnya, Euro (USD per EUR) bergerak median +0,3% selama 5 sesi (62% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,4% sampai +1,1%), dan +0,1% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.