
USDA Outlook Forum commentary noted US dairy cow numbers were up 100,000 year over year in December, the largest gain in some time and the highest since the mid-1980s. Historical data suggests such production growth has usually been followed by lower Class III prices over the following six months.
Historically large herd and output growth points to sustained downward pressure on milk prices, lowering dairy-sector demand for feed in the medium term.
Setelah 49 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Susu (Class III) bergerak median -0,6% selama 5 sesi (33% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -8,5% sampai +0,6%), dan -7,5% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.