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Coronavirus lockdown in Hubei province has halted transport and may limit phosphate movement. MAP 11-52 rose to $310/t cfr Brazil from $278/t at end-December, though still well below a year earlier.
Hubei is a major phosphate and NPK production hub, so logistics halts could tighten global supply and support Brazilian phosphate prices, though high Brazilian inventories cap gains.
argusmedia.com31 Jan 2020Setelah 11 peristiwa penyakit bullish sebelumnya, DAP bergerak median +0,9% selama 5 sesi (64% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah 0,0% sampai +3,3%), dan +2,9% selama 20 sesi.
Belum cukup peristiwa historis yang sebanding untuk analisis historis.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
Hubei lockdown halting transport and limiting phosphate movement lifted MAP cfr Brazil from $278/t to $310/t, a direct phosphate supply-disruption price signal consistent with DAP's jump.
Hubei lockdown halting transport may limit Chinese phosphate movement, and MAP prices into Brazil are already rising, which supports DAP via supply and trade-flow tightness.
Hubei lockdown halting phosphate transport lifted MAP cfr Brazil from $278 to $310/t, directly showing phosphate price strength in the same period.
