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Indian fertiliser importers expect higher costs if coronavirus disruptions in China shut plants and extend workers' holidays. Chinese New Year celebrations were cancelled and China's fertiliser exports could decline.
Reduced Chinese output of fertilizer would tighten global supply and could push DAP and other fertilizer prices higher, raising feed-grain input costs over time.
business-standard.comBS Reporters31 Jan 2020Setelah 11 peristiwa penyakit bullish sebelumnya, DAP bergerak median +0,9% selama 5 sesi (64% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah 0,0% sampai +3,3%), dan +2,9% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 758 peristiwa bullish dari jenis apa pun sebelumnya, Urea bergerak median +0,1% selama 5 sesi (51% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,6% sampai +2,7%), dan +1,3% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
Expected Chinese plant closures and lower fertiliser exports from the coronavirus raise import cost expectations for DAP buyers like India, a supply-side driver of the price jump.
Chinese plant closures and cancelled holidays could cut China's fertiliser exports, raising import costs for buyers like India and lifting DAP prices through supply and trade-flow effects.
Expected Chinese plant closures and lower fertiliser exports raise import-cost expectations for major DAP buyer India, supporting DAP prices through supply and sentiment channels.
