A Reuters poll of 21 foreign exchange strategists expects the Brazilian real to strengthen 1.4% to 5.62 per dollar by end-March from 5.70, supported by a surprisingly good fiscal performance. Investors remain concerned that the improvement may be temporary given fiscal loosening ahead of the October election.
A forecast stronger real would lower the local cost of imported feed ingredients and could slightly firm dollar-denominated Brazilian commodity prices. The fiscal risk noted in the poll could reverse that view.
Setelah 213 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Real Brasil (BRL per USD) bergerak median -0,2% selama 5 sesi (46% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,5% sampai +0,9%), dan +0,2% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.