◂ Linimasa Peristiwa

1 Sep 2023CUACAIndia

After India's Driest August In Over 100 Years, More Grain Export Curbs Likely

India recorded its lowest August rainfall since at least 1901, 36% below normal, with June-August rainfall 10% below average. The government has already restricted wheat and rice exports and imposed stockpile limits, and further export curbs are considered likely as El Niño threatens September rains.

MENGAPA INI PENTING

A weak monsoon raises the risk of lower Indian rice, sugar and soybean output and more export curbs, which would tighten global grain and oilseed supplies and lift prices.

BERDAMPAK PADAGabah▲Gandum (SRW)▲Bungkil Kedelai▲

1 SUMBER
ndtv.comPratik Parija, Bloomberg1 Sep 2023

Reaksi harga & riwayat

Gabah▲bullishSEJAUH INI1d -0,9%5d -4,1%20d -5,2%

Setelah 179 peristiwa cuaca bullish sebelumnya, Gabah bergerak median +0,4% selama 5 sesi (55% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,4% sampai +2,5%), dan +2,2% selama 20 sesi.

11 Okt 2023Asia Rice Market Braces for More Stress From El Niño After Export Curbs - Bloomberg-0,1%
28 Agu 2023India on track for lowest monsoon rains in 8 years -sources+6,2%
18 Agu 2023Exclusive: India faces record low August rains, threatening summer crops | Reuters+1,2%
17 Sep 2026India rice output faces biggest drop in two decades, stocks cushion exports | Reuters+3,0%
26 Des 2023Global 2024 staple food supplies to be strained by dry weather, export curbs | Reuters+1,4%

Gandum (SRW)▲bullishSEJAUH INI1d -0,2%5d +0,1%20d +1,1%

Setelah 1.072 peristiwa cuaca bullish sebelumnya, Gandum (SRW) bergerak median +0,2% selama 5 sesi (55% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,4% sampai +2,3%), dan +0,3% selama 20 sesi.

21 Nov 2019Drought Forces Lowest Australian Grain Harvest in More than Ten Years - The Lucas Group+0,7%
1 Des 2023Australia: Widespread downgrades likely after rain+1,0%
2 Mei 2024Ukraine's grain exports to drop in MY 2024-25 amid lower supply, smaller output estimate+2,1%
15 Mei 2019Australia considering first wheat imports in 12 years | 2019-05-15 | World Grain+11,2%
20 Agu 2020IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society | August Climate Briefing: La Niña Seeming More Likely+3,1%

Bungkil Kedelai▲bullishSEJAUH INI1d -1,1%5d -3,5%20d -5,8%

Setelah 453 peristiwa cuaca bullish sebelumnya, Bungkil Kedelai bergerak median +0,5% selama 5 sesi (55% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,6% sampai +2,7%), dan +0,5% selama 20 sesi.

12 Agu 2021'Once in 100 years' drought seen affecting Argentine grains exports into next year+0,4%
28 Agu 2023India on track for lowest monsoon rains in 8 years -sources-1,5%
18 Agu 2023Exclusive: India faces record low August rains, threatening summer crops | Reuters+3,5%
13 Jun 2023Argentina soy, corn trucks entering key grains port at 22-year low+4,3%
4 Agu 2023Quality worries in Europe as rain stalls harvest: Grain market daily | AHDB-3,8%

Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.

Gabah RICE · GP ▸

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Gandum (SRW) WHEAT · GP ▸

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