Analysis: Exchange rate caught between external factors and fiscal risks

Setelah 301 peristiwa makro bullish sebelumnya, Real Brasil (BRL per USD) bergerak median +0,4% selama 5 sesi (57% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,2% sampai +1,7%), dan +1,0% selama 20 sesi.

• 14 Jun 2022Analysis: Exchange rate unlikely to mean trouble for Brazil’s Central Bank+0,7%
• 28 Jul 2025Dollar approaches R$5,60 again, driven by external factors after agreement between the US and EU | Brasil 247-0,4%
• 17 Apr 2024Haddad blames external factors for weakened real-1,4%
• 1 Okt 2026Brazilian Real: Exchange rate seen weaker into year-end – Rabobank-3,5%
• 15 Mei 2020Brazil Exchange Rate May 2020 - FocusEconomics-5,4%

Setelah 117 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Bungkil Kedelai bergerak median -0,6% selama 5 sesi (41% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -2,5% sampai +1,7%), dan +0,5% selama 20 sesi.

• 22 Okt 2021Unofficial exchange rate shows Argentina's de facto devaluation — MercoPress+1,5%
• 1 Okt 2026Brazilian Real: Exchange rate seen weaker into year-end – Rabobank+3,2%
• 29 Okt 2026The sharp fall in the real exchange rate has caused soybean meal prices to collapse in Brazil and China, which is increasing pressure on prices in Ukraine.-3,3%
• 30 Jun 2023Brazilian Real Technical Analysis: USD/BRL, EUR/BRL+1,6%
• 14 Mei 2018IMF says supports Argentina floating exchange rate as peso tumbles-1,7%