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EUR/USD slipped below 1.1700 on April 30 as the euro corrected ahead of the ECB decision, hitting a low of 1.1655 after a high of 1.1849 on April 17. MUFG noted the euro had held up better than oil-price sensitivity suggested, falling only about 1% while Brent rose more than 70% since the conflict began.
MUFG forecasts 50 basis points of ECB hikes.
The euro's resilience despite a large oil rally suggests energy costs are not yet fully reflected in currency-driven feed import prices. A reversal in the euro would change the cost of US and Brazilian feed ingredients for European buyers.
fxstreet.comFXStreet Insights Team30 Apr 2026Setelah 533 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Euro (USD per EUR) bergerak median -0,3% selama 5 sesi (33% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,2% sampai +0,2%), dan -0,5% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 323 peristiwa makro bullish sebelumnya, Minyak Mentah (Brent) bergerak median +0,7% selama 5 sesi (58% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -2,9% sampai +3,7%), dan +1,3% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
