
Urea prices have fallen in recent weeks after rising more than 80% in markets such as Brazil and Egypt following the outbreak of US-Iran hostilities in late February. Brazilian importers have pushed back, favoring cheaper ammonium sulfate, which surpassed urea imports in 2025 and continued to lead in early 2026.
Buyers switching to cheaper nitrogen products reduces urea demand and eases the price spike, though supply disruption through Hormuz keeps a floor under prices.
Setelah 81 peristiwa perdagangan bearish sebelumnya, Urea bergerak median -1,0% selama 5 sesi (28% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -7,2% sampai +0,4%), dan -5,5% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
Buyer pushback and substitution to cheaper alternatives after the spike reduced urea demand in Brazil and Egypt.