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China's approval of additional urea exports has pulled nitrogen prices back from their July highs, according to IFDC's 24th Fertilizer Crisis Response Bulletin. The bulletin warns the relief could be temporary, citing risks from Hormuz shipping, possible reversals of Chinese export quotas, and sanctions.
It also flags Russian sulfur export restrictions and China's suspension of phosphate exports through August as constraints on phosphate supply.
Returning Chinese urea tonnage is easing nitrogen costs for feed and grain producers, but any Hormuz disruption or quota reversal could quickly lift prices again. Phosphate supply stays constrained, which keeps DAP firm.
fertilizerdaily.comKim Clarksen20 Agu 2026Setelah 81 peristiwa perdagangan bearish sebelumnya, Urea bergerak median -1,0% selama 5 sesi (28% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -7,2% sampai +0,4%), dan -5,5% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 193 peristiwa perdagangan bullish sebelumnya, DAP bergerak median +0,4% selama 5 sesi (54% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,3% sampai +1,8%), dan +1,9% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
