The Brazilian real weakened to about 5.19 per USD in late June as the dollar strengthened broadly after hawkish Fed projections. Markets began pricing more than one US rate hike this year.
The Selic at 14.25% remains well above US rates, but the gap is expected to narrow.
A weaker real lowers the dollar cost of Brazilian soybean and corn exports, which can pressure world prices for feed grains and meal.
Setelah 301 peristiwa makro bullish sebelumnya, Real Brasil (BRL per USD) bergerak median +0,4% selama 5 sesi (57% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,2% sampai +1,7%), dan +1,0% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.