◂ Linimasa Peristiwa

10 Jul 2026LAPORANAS

USDA forecasts smallest wheat harvest since 1970

The USDA's July WASDE lowered US 2026-27 wheat production to 1.536 billion bushels, the smallest crop since 1970-71, and cut world wheat ending stocks to 272.84 million tonnes. It also lowered US 2026-27 corn ending stocks to 1.79 billion bushels, below analyst expectations.

Wheat futures rose about 3% ahead of the report on Sea of Azov shipping disruption from the Russia-Ukraine war.

MENGAPA INI PENTING

A sharply smaller US wheat crop and tighter world stocks support wheat and corn prices, and the Azov disruption adds a geopolitical premium. Buyers of feed grains should expect firmer prices through the rest of the season.

BERDAMPAK PADAGandum (SRW)▲Gandum (HRW)▲Jagung▲

1 SUMBER
farmtario.comGlen Hallick, Reuters10 Jul 2026

Reaksi harga & riwayat

Gandum (SRW)▲bullishSEJAUH INI1d +0,6%5d +0,9%20d +0,6%

Setelah 769 peristiwa laporan bullish sebelumnya, Gandum (SRW) bergerak median +0,2% selama 5 sesi (53% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,4% sampai +2,0%), dan +0,2% selama 20 sesi.

12 Mei 2026USDA Projects Smallest US Wheat Harvest Since 1972 Due to Plains Drought - AgWeb+2,0%
30 Sep 2022UPDATE 1-U.S. Wheat Harvest Falls Below Forecasts; Prices Rally+0,4%
19 Sep 2024France lowers soft wheat harvest and export forecasts+11,4%
2 Jan 2024Experts have lowered the forecast for the soft wheat harvest in the EU-2,8%
30 Sep 2022Key data in USDA stocks and wheat harvest reports, and difference from market forecasts - Grain Price News+0,4%

Gandum (HRW)▲bullishSEJAUH INI1d +3,2%5d +11,6%20d +9,0%

Setelah 180 peristiwa laporan bullish sebelumnya, Gandum (HRW) bergerak median +0,4% selama 5 sesi (53% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -2,1% sampai +3,7%), dan -0,6% selama 20 sesi.

12 Mei 2026USDA Projects Smallest US Wheat Harvest Since 1972 Due to Plains Drought - AgWeb+4,5%
30 Sep 2022UPDATE 1-U.S. Wheat Harvest Falls Below Forecasts; Prices Rally-0,2%
30 Sep 2022Key data in USDA stocks and wheat harvest reports, and difference from market forecasts - Grain Price News-0,2%
30 Sep 2021U.S. wheat stocks fall after harvest shortfalls+4,7%
1 Apr 20232023 wheat harvest forecast: Still challenges for importing countries! | Miller Magazine-0,2%

Jagung▲bullishSEJAUH INI1d +1,4%5d +2,1%20d +0,8%

Setelah 1.040 peristiwa laporan bullish sebelumnya, Jagung bergerak median +0,5% selama 5 sesi (62% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,9% sampai +2,0%), dan +0,8% selama 20 sesi.

12 Mei 2026USDA Projects Smallest US Wheat Harvest Since 1972 Due to Plains Drought - AgWeb+1,8%
30 Sep 2022Key data in USDA stocks and wheat harvest reports, and difference from market forecasts - Grain Price News+1,0%
11 Jun 2026COCERAL advanced the forecast for the wheat harvest in the EU and UK in 2026+0,4%
11 Sep 2020USDA: Milk output forecast raised; smaller harvest boosts feed price projections - Progressive Dairy | Ag Proud+4,5%
24 Jun 2021EU trims 2021/22 wheat harvest and stocks forecasts - Markets - Business Recorder+4,6%

Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.

Pergerakan harga terkait

Gandum (HRW)+12,1%5 periode sampai 14 Jul 20263,8σ
USDA lowered US wheat production to the smallest since 1970 and cut world ending stocks, a supply shock that supported the rally.

Gandum (SRW) WHEAT · GP ▸

——— · ·

Gandum (HRW) KWHEAT · GP ▸

——— · ·

Memuat…