
Reuters reported that Russia is interested in resuming the Black Sea Grain Initiative during US-led talks in Riyadh on a possible ceasefire with Ukraine. The original deal allowed safe passage of Ukrainian grain and ended in 2023 when Russia withdrew.
Ukraine has since used its own corridor and river, rail and road routes, and war damage to its farm sector is estimated at $10.3 billion.
A restored deal would mainly affect the cost and security of Black Sea shipping. Because Ukraine's alternative routes are already working, the expected price effect is limited.
Setelah 38 peristiwa geopolitik netral sebelumnya, Gandum (SRW) bergerak median +0,1% selama 5 sesi (53% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,6% sampai +1,5%), dan +0,8% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.