Grain exports were not expected to be hit by Russia-Ukraine tensions in the Azov Sea, citing Russian ministry comments through TASS. Russia fired on and seized three Ukrainian navy ships on November 25, and Ukraine imposed martial law in parts of the country.
Ukraine's acting agriculture minister said grain shipments from Azov ports were unaffected so far and could be diverted to the Black Sea if needed.
Diversion options to Black Sea ports limit the risk to Ukrainian grain supply, so wheat prices are only slightly affected. Ongoing martial law and the seizure of ships keep a risk premium in freight and insurance.
Setelah 38 peristiwa geopolitik netral sebelumnya, Gandum (SRW) bergerak median +0,1% selama 5 sesi (53% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,6% sampai +1,5%), dan +0,8% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.