
Brazilian President Lula reportedly overrode aides by weaving tax-relief measures for the poor into a fiscal package, diluting the spending plan. The move helped trigger a stock market rout, and the real fell to a record low against the dollar.
Fiscal uncertainty weakens the real, which raises the cost of imported feed ingredients and inputs for Brazilian buyers and can push up domestic inflation and interest rates.
Setelah 12 peristiwa kebijakan bullish sebelumnya, Real Brasil (BRL per USD) bergerak median +1,5% selama 5 sesi (58% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,1% sampai +2,0%), dan +2,3% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
Reports of Lula diluting the fiscal package with tax relief deepened fiscal credibility worries and triggered a market rout with the real at a record low on Dec 2.