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Brazilian equities and the real fell on Tuesday after the government raised taxes on banks and the chemical industry and cut them on diesel and cooking gas. The dollar rose about 2% against the real, reaching a three-month low for the currency despite a $1 billion central bank spot sale.
The Bovespa index fell as much as 2.7% intraday before recovering to a 1.3% loss by midday.
The tax changes raised doubts about Brazil's fiscal and economic direction, which pushed the real weaker and makes Brazilian exports cheaper in dollar terms. A cheaper real can support export selling of soy and corn, while the diesel tax cut lowers fuel costs for farm and freight operations.
brecorder.comReuters2 Mar 2021Setelah 12 peristiwa kebijakan bullish sebelumnya, Real Brasil (BRL per USD) bergerak median +1,5% selama 5 sesi (58% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,1% sampai +2,0%), dan +2,3% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 21 peristiwa kebijakan bearish sebelumnya, ULSD / Solar bergerak median -2,4% selama 5 sesi (38% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -6,5% sampai +4,7%), dan -1,1% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
Tax changes (hikes on banks and chemicals, cuts on diesel and cooking gas) raised fiscal concerns and triggered real weakness and equity selling, contributing to the depreciation momentum, but the event is dated two days before the move.
