
The euro fell below $1.13 and hit its lowest level in 16 months as traders bet the ECB would keep accommodative policy while the Fed and Bank of England moved to raise rates. The euro also fell to its weakest level against sterling since February 2020.
Bank of America analysts said the market was positioning for a Fed-ECB policy divergence.
Diverging central bank paths strengthen the dollar against the euro, which tends to weigh on dollar-denominated commodity prices and shifts relative import costs for European feed buyers.
Setelah 533 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Euro (USD per EUR) bergerak median -0,3% selama 5 sesi (33% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,2% sampai +0,2%), dan -0,5% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 2.356 peristiwa makro bullish sebelumnya, Dolar AS (Luas) bergerak median +0,2% selama 5 sesi (60% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,3% sampai +0,7%), dan +0,4% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.