
The ECB published the account of its monetary policy meeting, noting that global risk sentiment had improved since March and equity markets had risen strongly in the first quarter. Markets had pushed expectations for the first ECB rate increase further out, and short-term money market rate expectations had shifted lower.
The Fed had also lowered its rate projections and slowed its Treasury balance sheet runoff.
Expectations of easier money for longer tend to weaken the euro and support risk assets, which can modestly lift commodity prices priced in dollars.
Setelah 533 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Euro (USD per EUR) bergerak median -0,3% selama 5 sesi (33% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,2% sampai +0,2%), dan -0,5% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.