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Monthly World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates, 12:00 ET. Updates US and world balance sheets and season-average price projections.
Surprises: US soybean ending stocks 190 mil bu vs prior 290 (-34.5%, bullish); US corn ending stocks 1,702 mil bu vs prior 2,167 (-21.5%, bullish); US corn season-avg farm price 4 $/bu vs prior 3.6 (+11.1%, bullish); US corn exports 2,650 mil bu vs prior 2,325 (+14.0%, bullish); US soybean oil price 34.5 ¢/lb vs prior 32.5 (+6.2%, bullish); US soybean season-avg farm price 10.4 $/bu vs prior 9.8 (+6.1%, bullish); US soybean meal price 355 $/st vs prior 335 (+6.0%, bullish); World corn ending stocks 291.43 mmt vs prior 300.45 (-3.0%, bullish); World…
USDA WAOBSetelah 3.207 peristiwa laporan sebelumnya, Jagung bergerak median +0,2% selama 5 sesi (54% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,3% sampai +1,7%), dan +0,5% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 2.389 peristiwa laporan sebelumnya, Kedelai bergerak median 0,0% selama 5 sesi (50% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,6% sampai +1,9%), dan +0,1% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 1.283 peristiwa laporan sebelumnya, Bungkil Kedelai bergerak median -0,1% selama 5 sesi (47% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -2,0% sampai +1,7%), dan -0,2% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 686 peristiwa laporan sebelumnya, Minyak Kedelai bergerak median -0,0% selama 5 sesi (49% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,8% sampai +2,0%), dan -0,0% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
The Nov 10 WASDE sharply cut US corn ending stocks (-21.5%) and raised export demand (+14%) and the season-average price forecast, a bullish supply/demand shock that plausibly fueled the rally, though the 5-day window ending Nov 19 starts a few days after the report, so some of the move reflects follow-through.
The Nov 10 WASDE sharply cut US corn ending stocks (-21.5%), raised exports and the season-average price, a bullish supply/demand surprise that likely contributed to the rally; however, it came several trading days before the window ending Nov 16, so it is at most a partial driver of this specific 1-day move.
