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Benjamin Fuchs of BFAM Partners said Chinese authorities had taken steps in the past week to support the yuan, including asking state-owned enterprises to sell foreign currency. He warned that repeated capital controls could erode confidence and that the dollar's rise against the yen adds pressure on China to let the yuan depreciate.
Tighter capital controls and mounting depreciation pressure raise the risk of a sharp yuan decline, which would lift dollar costs for Chinese feed importers. The episode shows how currency policy can shift the price of dollar-denominated commodities.
gulf-times.comBloomberg/Hong Kong8 Jan 2017Setelah 31 peristiwa kebijakan bullish sebelumnya, Yuan Tiongkok (CNY per USD) bergerak median -0,2% selama 5 sesi (42% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,4% sampai +0,3%), dan -0,1% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 15 peristiwa kebijakan bullish sebelumnya, Dolar AS (Luas) bergerak median +0,2% selama 5 sesi (53% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,4% sampai +0,4%), dan +1,0% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
