
CSBP says nitrogen, phosphate and potash prices are easing from recent highs as China returns to the international market. Chinese suppliers in Indian urea tenders have limited other exporters' ability to push prices higher.
Pakistan and India are also buying urea, with supply expected from the Middle East, Southeast Asia and possibly Russia.
Renewed Chinese export supply and tender competition put downward pressure on urea, and phosphate and potash prices are following. Lower fertilizer costs can ease feed-grain production costs over time.
Setelah 81 peristiwa perdagangan bearish sebelumnya, Urea bergerak median -1,0% selama 5 sesi (28% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -7,2% sampai +0,4%), dan -5,5% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 40 peristiwa perdagangan bearish sebelumnya, DAP bergerak median -0,1% selama 5 sesi (38% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -3,7% sampai +0,5%), dan -2,4% selama 20 sesi.
Belum cukup peristiwa historis yang sebanding untuk analisis historis.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
China's return to Indian urea tenders capped other exporters' pricing power and added supply, with buying from Pakistan and India not enough to offset it, so urea prices fell.
China's return to export markets and Chinese suppliers in Indian tenders cap other exporters' pricing power, adding supply-side downward pressure on urea.