
The dollar gained only about 1% against the euro year-to-date despite a sharp rise in U.S. bond yields and a stronger U.S. vaccine rollout. Commodity currencies were still up 1-2% against the dollar since the start of the year.
The analysis expected the euro to benefit as a cyclical currency if the global recovery synchronized in the second quarter.
A weaker dollar relative to the euro and commodity currencies supports dollar-denominated commodity prices and export competitiveness for South American and Australian feed exporters. Continued dollar softness would be supportive for feed grain values.
Setelah 388 peristiwa makro bullish sebelumnya, Euro (USD per EUR) bergerak median +0,3% selama 5 sesi (62% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,4% sampai +1,1%), dan +0,1% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 1.637 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Dolar AS (Luas) bergerak median -0,2% selama 5 sesi (39% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,6% sampai +0,3%), dan -0,2% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.