
Virginia dairy officials say the pandemic closed restaurants and schools, which cancelled orders and left the US with about a 10% milk oversupply. About 5% of national milk was dumped in late March and early April.
Farmers were expected to feel the price pressure when April milk payments arrived in May.
A 10% oversupply is far larger than the usual 1-2% surplus and has pushed milk prices sharply lower. Cheese-linked pricing means the impact extends to processing demand and milk-based feed ingredients.
Après 49 événements macro baissier passés, Lait (Classe III) a varié en médiane de -0,6 % sur 5 séances (33 % de hausses ; moitié centrale de -8,5 % à +0,6 %), et de -7,5 % sur 20.
Variations du benchmark de chaque matière depuis la dernière clôture avant l'événement. Les lectures historiques regroupent les événements passés de même nature ; elles décrivent ce qui s'est passé, pas ce qui arrivera. Ceci n'est pas un conseil en investissement.
A roughly 10% oversupply and milk dumping signal a supply glut that pressures cheese and milk prices, with farmers expected to feel the price pressure when April milk payments arrive.
A roughly 10% oversupply with dumping and the expectation of price pressure in May payments point to a supply-demand imbalance pushing prices lower.