
The USDA set the October 2020 Federal Milk Marketing Order Class I base price at $15.20/cwt, down more than $3 from September. Dairy cow slaughter hit a four-year low in August.
Rising block cheddar prices from a USDA food box purchase approval are creating the potential for depooling and negative producer price differentials in October.
Lower Class I pricing and a cheese-driven rally in Class III futures shift milk value between classes and regions. Tighter cow slaughter supports milk supply and feed demand over the coming months.
Après 136 événements rapport neutre passés, Lait (Classe III) a varié en médiane de -0,1 % sur 5 séances (43 % de hausses ; moitié centrale de -0,7 % à +0,5 %), et de -0,3 % sur 20.
Variations du benchmark de chaque matière depuis la dernière clôture avant l'événement. Les lectures historiques regroupent les événements passés de même nature ; elles décrivent ce qui s'est passé, pas ce qui arrivera. Ceci n'est pas un conseil en investissement.
USDA food box purchase approval lifted block cheddar prices and raised depooling and negative PPD risk, a demand-driven bullish factor for Class III futures.
Rising block cheddar prices tied to the USDA food box purchase approval point to a demand-driven cheese rally and depooling, which tightens milk supply to Class III and supports futures.