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US corn production for 2023/24 is pegged at 15.234 billion bushels, with ending stocks near 2.13 billion. Seasonal data show March corn futures rose into January in each of the past 16 years.
Analysts say a major rally would need strong exports, Brazilian weather problems or a US drought.
Large US stocks cap rally potential, but seasonal patterns and possible export or weather shocks support prices into the new year.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.