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Cash cattle prices rose unexpectedly while live cattle futures lagged, widening the basis to record levels. Rabobank attributed this to concern over a possible oversupply in the pipeline and growing supplies of competing proteins.
Beef exports were robust and domestic demand was solid.
A record cash premium over futures encourages aggressive marketing of fed cattle and pressures the futures curve. Strong beef export demand supports cash prices.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.