Brazil's crop agency CONAB made no month-to-month changes to its new-crop soybean and corn production estimates. Soybeans were left at 181.6 million tons and combined corn at 148.0 million tons.
CONAB also lowered its old-crop corn export forecast, citing competition from the US and Argentina and slower Chinese demand.
Unchanged Brazilian estimates keep the export outlook steady, so the price effect is small. The cut to old-crop corn exports reflects weaker competitive demand for Brazilian corn.
After 563 past neutral report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.1% over 20.
After 770 past neutral report events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.