Russia's seaborne grain exports drop 56% in October as southern ports remain disrupted

After 283 past bullish logistics events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.3%), and -0.1% over 20.

• Aug 31, 2026Russian grain exports shift to Baltic as Black Sea trade disrupted | Reuters+2.4%
• Aug 4, 2026Russia’s grain exports fell 38% in July due to port attacks+0.1%
• Dec 26, 2025Ports Under Fire as Russia’s Drone and Missile Strikes Squeeze Ukraine’s Grain Exports – Ship Universe-0.5%
• Oct 22, 2026Russian grain exports collapse fourfold as Black Sea ports stall-0.7%
• Jan 31, 2019Grain exports from Ukraine interrupted by bad weather-0.8%

After 285 past bullish logistics events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.5%), and +0.8% over 20.

• Aug 4, 2026Russia’s grain exports fell 38% in July due to port attacks-0.5%
• Dec 26, 2025Ports Under Fire as Russia’s Drone and Missile Strikes Squeeze Ukraine’s Grain Exports – Ship Universe-1.8%
• Oct 22, 2026Russian grain exports collapse fourfold as Black Sea ports stall-1.2%
• Jan 31, 2019Grain exports from Ukraine interrupted by bad weather-0.5%
• Aug 4, 2026EXCLUSIVE: Ukraine turns to alternative grain export routes, counts losses as Russia blocks ports | Reuters-0.5%

Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.