
Wheat and barley harvesting is advancing in Australia after prolonged rain, but farmer selling is subdued. Growers in New South Wales and Queensland report uneven grain quality, high moisture, low test weights, falling numbers and high screenings, and are holding grain to dry, clean and blend it.
Restricted selling has lifted barley and wheat prices in southern Australia by AUD 5-10 per tonne.
Withheld supply and quality downgrades tighten the availability of feed-grade barley and wheat for domestic and export buyers, supporting prices. Lower-grade lots may push livestock feeders toward cheaper local feed.
After 1,072 past bullish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.