
Juan Carlos Anaya, CEO of Grupo Consultor de Mercados Agrícolas, estimates Mexico will import around 26 million metric tons of corn in 2026. That is above the 22.7 million tons he expects Mexico to produce, with production down 16% since 2018.
He links the decline to weak policy support, rising costs and price unpredictability.
A larger Mexican import requirement points to stronger foreign demand for corn, mainly from the US, which supports export prices.
After 729 past bullish trade events, Corn moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.8%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.