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Brazil's rice sector is nearing harvest with weak sales and idle processing capacity, as production and milling have grown faster than domestic demand. US long-grain supply is smaller, with USDA estimating the 2026/27 crop at about 7.15 million tonnes paddy, and Gulf FOB quotes of US$420-435/t compare with US$390/t for Brazil.
Brazilian rice remains price-competitive against US supply, which could open export sales to Central America and the Caribbean. Domestic prices are unlikely to rise until surplus capacity and strong retail buyers are balanced.
agrolink.com.brLeonardo GottemsNov 13, 2026Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
