
Morningstar DBRS kept its 2027 forecasts at $71/bbl for Brent and $68/bbl for WTI, and projected $66 and $63 for 2028. The agency expects Persian Gulf supply recovery and IEA and EIA data point to global production exceeding demand by 4-5 million b/d in 2027.
A forecast of easing crude prices into 2027 suggests lower energy costs ahead, which would reduce pressure on feed transport and processing margins over time.
After 312 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.