
Ukrainian sunflower purchase prices are expected to keep falling after Russian strikes hit oilseed processing plants in several central and western oblasts, halting some plants for damage assessment. Export demand to Turkey remains at $580–600/t, but duty-free export quota of 50,000 t is likely used up, so further shipments face a 10% export duty.
Fewer operating crushing plants reduce domestic sunflower demand and sunflower meal output, pressuring seed prices and adding to the bearish outlook for sunflower meal supply.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.